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  • Afternoon Round-up - May 3, 2023

Afternoon Round-up - May 3, 2023

Bullish. Dovish. Bearish. All at Once?

๐Ÿฆ The Decision ft. Jerome Powell

๐ŸŽข Wednesday's market ride โ€“ Stocks took a leisurely stroll before getting on a rollercoaster in the final two hours of the day. There was no clear winner between the bulls and bears after the Federal Reserve's decision. Some earnings letdowns and falling oil prices made the bears feel like they had the upper hand. Now, all eyes are on the European Central Bank, Apple's earnings, US jobs data, and the US CPI.

J-Pow Summoning The Force

๐Ÿšฆ Fed's decision aftermath - Most people thought the Fed would stop hiking at 5.25% or 5.5%, so ending at 5.25% wasn't a huge surprise. But we're now in a new era for US monetary policy, and further hikes would need a strong reason. More tightening is expected from the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, but we're at a critical turning point towards a more cautious monetary policy.

๐Ÿ‚ Bulls vs. ๐Ÿป Bears โ€“ Bulls are happy about the Fed ending its aggressive tightening, giving stocks some breathing room. Bears argue that even if it's the last hike, policy will remain tight, and the full effects on the economy haven't been felt yet. They worry that a cooling economy and tighter bank lending could raise the odds of a recession.

๐Ÿ“Š Earnings and economy check-in โ€“ We're in the last stretch of Q1 earnings season, so there's not much new to learn about the broader economic landscape. Q1 results have been strong, but most companies aren't raising their full-year guidance due to uncertainty. Estee Lauder had a particularly rough time, with weak trends in Asia. On the bright side, recent data shows that April was better than March for the US economy, but wage growth has cooled down.

โณ Debt ceiling deadlock โ€“ Not much progress has been made on the debt ceiling issue. Options like the "discharge petition" strategy or questioning the debt ceiling's legality aren't promising quick fixes. With the deadline approaching and Biden meeting Congressional leaders only in May, we might need a short-term solution โ€“ it's like asking for extra time on that term paper you just can't finish.

๐Ÿ’ฐMore Earnings!

Agriculture

Corteva (CTVA) ๐ŸŒพ, an agriculture company, had a fantastic Q1! They beat expectations and even raised their guidance. ๐ŸŒฑ๐Ÿ’ช Farmers, rejoice! ๐Ÿšœ

Mosaic (MOS) ๐Ÿ’Ž, a fertilizer producer, didn't do so well in Q1. Their profits fell short, and their gross margins were lower than expected. Better luck next time, MOS! ๐Ÿคž

Banks

Regional bank stocks got a bit shaky ๐ŸŒฉ๏ธ after PacWest (PACW) ๐Ÿฆ started "considering strategic options." People usually see this as a sign of weakness, but remember, not all banks are the same! Don't panic just yet. ๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ˜‰

Healthcare

Amedisys (AMED) ๐Ÿฅ, a home health and hospice care provider, is joining forces with Option Care Health (OPCH) ๐Ÿ’‰ in a $3.6B deal. AMED stockholders are getting 3.0213 shares of OPCH! ๐ŸŽ‰

Tandem (TNDM) ๐Ÿ’‰, a medical device company, had an okay Q1 but missed earnings expectations. They're still keeping their full-year outlook unchanged though. Fingers crossed! ๐Ÿคž

Housing

Zillow (ZG) ๐Ÿ , an online real estate platform, had a solid Q1, beating estimates! But the housing market is a bit shaky, so they're not sure about what's coming next. ๐Ÿคท

Insurance

Allstate (ALL) ๐Ÿš—, an insurance company, reported a smaller Q1 loss than expected, but still, things didn't go too well due to super high auto loss costs and "exceptionally high" cat losses. ๐Ÿฑ Ouch!

MetLife (MET) ๐Ÿข, a life insurance giant, missed their earnings target in Q1. Losses were caused by some not-so-great investments, but hey, they announced a $3B buyback authorization! ๐Ÿ’ฐ

Industrials

Albemarle (ALB) โš—๏ธ, a specialty chemicals producer, had a strong Q1 but is cutting its yearly outlook because of lower lithium prices. Bummer! ๐Ÿ˜•

Ingersoll Rand (IR) ๐Ÿญ, an industrial manufacturing company, rocked Q1 results and raised its yearly guidance! Go, industrial sector! ๐Ÿ’ช๐Ÿ˜Ž

Solar

AEIS (Advanced Energy) โšก, power conversion experts, reported Q1 upside with better-than-expected EPS and revenue ๐ŸŽ‰. June guidance aligns with Street consensus ๐ŸŽฏ. Keep the energy flowing! ๐Ÿ”‹

RUN (Sunrun) ๐ŸŒž, solar installation specialists, shone bright in Q1, exceeding volume and Net Subscriber Value guidance ๐Ÿ“ˆ. Full-year guidance remains unchanged, but there's potential for growth! ๐Ÿ˜Ž

SEDG (SolarEdge) ๐ŸŒ…, solar energy innovators, experienced strong Q1 upside in EPS and revenue ๐Ÿš€. Gross margins ahead and supply chain challenges easing ๐Ÿ› ๏ธ. June Q gross margin guidance looking strong! ๐Ÿ’ช

Tech

ACLS (Axcelis) ๐Ÿญ, semiconductor tech provider, aced Q1 with EPS of 1.43 and revenue of $254MM ๐Ÿ“ˆ. Q2 looks promising and full-year revenue is on the rise! ๐Ÿš€

CDAY (Ceridian HCM) ๐Ÿ’ผ, HR software creator, outperformed in Q1 with EPS at 31c, increased revs, and Dayforce recurring revenue ๐Ÿ’ช. Full-year guidance? Upgraded! ๐ŸŽ‰

CFLT (Confluent) ๐Ÿ’ป, data streaming gurus, enjoyed solid Q1 results in EPS and revenue ๐Ÿ’ฐ. Yearly EPS guidance gets a boost! ๐Ÿ†™

CTSH (Cognizant) ๐Ÿ–ฅ๏ธ, IT service masters, had a strong Q1, but the full-year outlook dims ๐ŸŒฅ๏ธ. Time for cost-cutting! โœ‚๏ธ Beware, the IT sector's feeling gloomy. ๐Ÿ˜ž

ETSY (Etsy) ๐Ÿ›๏ธ, craft marketplace extraordinaire, scored big in Q1 with EPS, revs, and more ๐Ÿ˜Ž. Q2? Mixed. Stay creative, crafty pals! ๐ŸŽจ

FLT (FLEETCOR) โ›ฝ, fleet fuel card experts, cruised through Q1 with EPS and revenue surpassing expectations ๐Ÿš—. Guidance for the year is revving up! ๐Ÿ

FROG (JFrog) ๐Ÿธ, software management pros, hopped over Q1 expectations with EPS of 6c ๐ŸŒŸ. Full-year guidance gets a little nudge. Keep on hopping! ๐Ÿธ

HUBS (Hubspot) ๐ŸŒ, marketing wizards, wowed in Q1 with EPS of 1.20 and $501.6MM in revs ๐ŸŽฏ. They're raising the bar for yearly guidance! Abracadabra! ๐Ÿ”ฎ

INFA (Informatica) ๐Ÿ“Š, data management wizards, missed Q1 non-GAAP EPS but had strong top line metrics ๐ŸŽข. Full-year outlook unchanged, but Q2's a bit low. Stay tuned! ๐Ÿ“ป

KLIC (Kulicke & Soffa) ๐Ÿ”ง, semiconductor tools maker, enjoyed solid Q1 EPS upside but June guidance is soft ๐Ÿ˜•. Keep tightening those screws! ๐Ÿ”ฉ

MKSI (MKS Instruments) ๐ŸŒก๏ธ, precision instruments creator, smashed Q1 EPS expectations as they recover from a ransomware attack ๐Ÿ’ช. June Q? A tad shy. Keep the recovery going! ๐Ÿš‘

OLED (Universal Display) ๐Ÿ“บ, OLED tech trailblazers, had a modest Q1 miss on EPS and revenue, but full-year guidance remains steady ๐ŸŽญ. Bonus: they acquired Merck KGaA's Phosphorescent OLED Emitter IP! ๐Ÿ”ฌ

QCOM (Qualcomm) ๐Ÿ“ฑ, wireless tech giants, had okay FQ2 results, but FQ3's looking dim ๐Ÿ˜Ÿ. Dividend? Up by 7%! Cha-ching! ๐Ÿ’ฐ Macro outlook? Gloomy. ๐Ÿ˜”

QRVO (Qorvo) ๐Ÿ“ก, RF solutions provider, reported solid FQ4 upside and promising June guidance ๐ŸŒŸ. Despite market weakness, they're ready for growth! ๐ŸŒฑ

SYNA (Synaptics) ๐Ÿ–ฑ๏ธ, human interface experts, gave soft FQ4 guidance with lower revenue and GMs ๐Ÿ’ธ. Time to tighten the belts! ๐Ÿš€

UPWK (Upwork) ๐Ÿ’ผ, freelancing platform gurus, had decent Q1 results, but they're trimming top line guidance due to macro softness ๐Ÿ˜ฌ. Full-year EBITDA, however, gets a boost! ๐Ÿš€

Telecom

ATUS (Altice) ๐Ÿ“ก, telecom providers, missed on Q1 revenue, EBITDA, and free cash flow ๐Ÿ˜…. Broadband and video subscribers dipped, but mobile sub adds were solid ๐Ÿ‘. Capex guidance stays put ๐Ÿ—๏ธ.

EQIX (Equinix) ๐Ÿข, data center trailblazers, showed strong earnings upside and raised full-year guidance ๐Ÿ“Š. They're taking data storage to new heights! ๐ŸŒ

Travel

HST (Host Hotels) ๐Ÿจ, a hotel properties specialist, reported strong results and raised its yearly growth expectations ๐Ÿ“ˆ, driven by increased room rates and occupancy.

TRIP (TripAdvisor) ๐ŸŒ, the travel review platform, posted lower earnings despite solid revenues, with Viator business performance affecting overall results ๐ŸŽข.

VAC (Marriott Vacations) ๐Ÿ–๏ธ, a timeshare company, saw better-than-expected earnings and raised yearly expectations, but other financial projections remained unchanged โš–๏ธ.